Namibia U20 vs Sudáfrica U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
NAM
2 - 0
SWZ
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SWZ
2 - 2
NAM
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
NAM
1 - 0
ZAM
26%
24%
51%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Sudáfrica U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RSA
5 - 2
ZAM
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 2
MLI
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
GHA
2 - 0
RSA
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NGA
3 - 1
RSA
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 1
NGA
31%
24%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |