Nalón CF vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nalón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ESM
0 - 1
NAL
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NAL
4 - 1
CAM
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
1 - 3
NAL
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
NAL
3 - 1
VAL
45%
25%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 0
NAL
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LUA
1 - 3
UDL
24%
26%
50%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 0
LUA
44%
26%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LUA
1 - 1
MAD
37%
25%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LUA
2 - 1
FRE
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ESM
4 - 2
LUA
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |