Najran vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
ALN
2 - 0
NAJ
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
NAJ
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ALW
1 - 1
NAJ
46%
24%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
NAJ
1 - 2
ALI
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DHA
0 - 1
NAJ
18%
21%
61%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALK
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALS
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
HAJ
1 - 2
ALS
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALS
3 - 1
ALR
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALS
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |