Najran vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
NAJ
0 - 1
ALI
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
ALH
1 - 1
NAJ
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
NAJ
2 - 1
ALQ
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
ALI
2 - 0
NAJ
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALW
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
CAB
1 - 2
ALS
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
ALS
1 - 3
ALA
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
ALT
0 - 0
ALS
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALN
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |