Najran vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NAJ
2 - 2
ALW
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
NAJ
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
NAJ
2 - 1
NAJ
12%
16%
73%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ALR
2 - 3
NAJ
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
NAJ
1 - 3
ALF
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALQ
77%
16%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALN
19%
22%
59%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
HAJ
0 - 1
ALN
19%
25%
57%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ALD
0 - 7
ALN
8%
16%
76%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALH
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |