Najran vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALI
3 - 2
NAJ
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
ALN
3 - 0
NAJ
59%
21%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ALA
3 - 2
NAJ
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
ALJ
3 - 4
NAJ
13%
18%
69%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
NAJ
1 - 0
ALF
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALT
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
ALN
3 - 0
NAJ
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALS
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 3
ALN
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
ALH
1 - 2
ALN
51%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |