Najran vs Al-Fayha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
OHO
2 - 1
NAJ
27%
26%
48%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
NAJ
1 - 0
ALW
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NAJ
0 - 1
NAJ
20%
25%
54%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ALS
6 - 0
NAJ
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
NAJ
0 - 2
ALH
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Fayha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 3
HAJ
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
NAH
1 - 0
ALF
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
ALO
26%
26%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DHA
2 - 1
ALF
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 2
ALJ
44%
26%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |