Najran vs Al-Fateh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
63.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
ALT
0 - 1
NAJ
27%
25%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
NAJ
0 - 0
ALQ
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
NAJ
0 - 2
ALJ
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
NAJ
3 - 0
KHO
51%
22%
27%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
ALB
3 - 1
NAJ
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Fateh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
ABH
3 - 1
ALF
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
AEC
0 - 4
ALF
4%
8%
89%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 3
ALH
16%
23%
61%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 1
ALF
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
ADA
3 - 5
ALF
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |