Nagykanizsa FC vs Pécsi MFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
5º
1º
60
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 23 |
12º
|
90.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagykanizsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 1
NAG
22%
22%
56%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
2 - 0
BVO
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GVC
2 - 2
NAG
21%
22%
58%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
2 - 3
FCA
18%
19%
63%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
3 - 2
MTK
66%
19%
16%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pécsi MFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PEC
1 - 1
KAP
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PTE
1 - 2
PEC
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PEC
5 - 0
MSE
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PEC
3 - 3
SZE
19%
22%
58%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
PEC
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |