Nagykanizsa FC vs Fehérvár II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
3º
11º
3º
25
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 72.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagykanizsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 1
NAG
35%
22%
43%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAG
2 - 0
GVC
80%
12%
8%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PTE
0 - 1
NAG
22%
20%
58%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NAG
3 - 3
SZE
25%
24%
52%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ERD
0 - 1
NAG
24%
20%
56%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Fehérvár II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOL
4 - 0
DUN
52%
22%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 1
MOL
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 2
IVA
8%
16%
76%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GVC
3 - 1
MOL
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 0
MTK
32%
23%
46%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |