Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
OMI
1 - 0
NAG
80%
14%
7%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NAG
2 - 1
VEG
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
KAW
3 - 2
NAG
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAG
1 - 1
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
JUB
0 - 1
NAG
84%
12%
4%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SHO
0 - 2
URA
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
SHO
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
KAW
4 - 4
SHO
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SHO
1 - 2
ALB
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 0
SHO
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |