Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VIS
3 - 0
NAG
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NAG
1 - 1
JUB
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAG
5 - 0
AVI
29%
25%
47%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VEG
1 - 2
NAG
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAG
1 - 3
GAM
12%
18%
70%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SHO
1 - 0
VEN
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
OMI
3 - 2
SHO
84%
12%
4%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SHO
0 - 0
KAR
10%
18%
72%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
JUB
0 - 0
SHO
90%
8%
2%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
SHO
4 - 0
TOK
11%
22%
67%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | +1 |