Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 2
NAG
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
CER
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
0 - 1
NAG
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
URA
1 - 0
NAG
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
JUB
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SHO
1 - 3
OMI
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SHO
1 - 1
SHI
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SHO
1 - 1
SAG
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
YFM
4 - 2
SHO
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
SHO
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |