Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
NAG
1 - 1
KAW
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIS
0 - 0
NAG
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 3
NAG
34%
29%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NAG
0 - 2
GAM
61%
22%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
NAG
1 - 0
JUB
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KAW
4 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
CER
1 - 2
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
SHI
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CER
0 - 3
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
5 - 2
GAM
62%
23%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |