Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
NAG
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NAG
2 - 0
FCK
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NAG
1 - 0
KAR
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KAW
0 - 1
NAG
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAG
0 - 5
GAM
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
VEG
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
FCI
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
JUB
1 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
FCT
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |