Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
TIT
0 - 3
NAG
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OMI
1 - 1
NAG
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NAG
2 - 1
ALB
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 1
NAG
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCT
3 - 2
NAG
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
VEG
2 - 0
SAG
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 0
VIS
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
YFM
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 1
KAW
11%
17%
72%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
JUB
2 - 1
SAG
65%
20%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |