Nagoya Grampus vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
CER
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAG
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
NAG
2 - 0
URA
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
JUB
2 - 3
NAG
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
NAG
3 - 1
KAA
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
OIT
1 - 1
SAN
15%
25%
60%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
URA
4 - 3
OIT
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
OIT
0 - 0
KAR
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FCT
2 - 0
OIT
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
SAG
3 - 2
OIT
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |