Nagoya Grampus vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
VIS
0 - 1
NAG
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
NAG
0 - 1
KYO
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
URA
0 - 2
NAG
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
NAG
1 - 1
KYO
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HON
2 - 0
NAG
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
OIT
3 - 0
ALB
45%
24%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
YFM
1 - 0
OIT
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
OIT
2 - 0
KAR
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SHI
1 - 2
OIT
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
GAM
3 - 1
OIT
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |