Nagoya Grampus vs Júbilo Iwata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAG
5 - 0
AVI
29%
25%
47%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VEG
1 - 2
NAG
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAG
1 - 3
GAM
12%
18%
70%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 1
NAG
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NAG
0 - 1
PAR
11%
21%
68%
|
25 | 64 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
JUB
1 - 2
ALB
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
JUB
0 - 0
SHO
90%
8%
2%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
OMI
5 - 0
JUB
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KAA
3 - 0
JUB
49%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
JUB
3 - 4
VIS
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |