Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAG
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NAG
1 - 0
OIT
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FCT
1 - 1
NAG
41%
27%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NAG
2 - 1
YFM
38%
24%
37%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
NAG
4 - 2
DAE
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
KAW
1 - 0
FCT
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FCT
1 - 2
URA
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FCT
1 - 1
NAG
41%
27%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FCT
4 - 0
YOK
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FCT
0 - 1
KAR
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |