Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
KAR
3 - 1
NAG
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NAG
0 - 2
URA
12%
20%
68%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAG
84%
12%
4%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
YFM
0 - 0
NAG
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
NAG
1 - 3
VEN
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 0
YFM
43%
26%
30%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VIS
4 - 1
FCT
47%
24%
28%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FCT
3 - 2
JUB
24%
25%
51%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 1
FCT
31%
27%
43%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
KAW
1 - 0
FCT
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |