Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SHO
0 - 1
NAG
20%
26%
55%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
NAG
1 - 1
ALB
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
NAG
2 - 1
OMI
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
KAA
1 - 0
NAG
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAG
1 - 0
CER
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 2
KAW
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
FCT
2 - 0
JEF
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
YFM
1 - 2
FCT
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 1
GAM
30%
25%
46%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SHI
1 - 2
FCT
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |