Nagoya Grampus vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
VIS
0 - 1
NAG
29%
27%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NAG
2 - 3
KAW
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SEO
1 - 1
NAG
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NAG
1 - 2
URA
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAG
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
CCM
5 - 1
TIT
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
SEO
5 - 0
CCM
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 1
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 3
BRI
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 1
SEO
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |