Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
GAM
3 - 2
NAG
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NAG
0 - 2
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NAG
1 - 2
YFM
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
YFM
1 - 3
NAG
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
AVI
1 - 0
NAG
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 2
TOK
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
YFM
0 - 0
ALB
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KAW
0 - 2
ALB
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
4 - 1
KAW
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 4
KAA
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |