Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
NAG
0 - 0
VEN
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAG
1 - 2
OMI
14%
23%
63%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
NAG
1 - 3
KAA
33%
25%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FCT
3 - 2
NAG
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
NAG
0 - 1
SHO
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALB
81%
14%
6%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 2
JUB
9%
19%
72%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 5
KAW
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -4 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AVI
0 - 1
ALB
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
SAG
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |