Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
CER
1 - 2
NAG
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NAG
2 - 0
VEN
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
YFM
0 - 2
NAG
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
NAG
1 - 1
KAW
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAG
1 - 1
KAR
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 2
URA
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
ALB
61%
24%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 0
VEG
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GAM
5 - 0
ALB
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 2
TOK
73%
19%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |