Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GAM
2 - 3
NAG
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
JEF
0 - 2
NAG
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NAG
0 - 2
KAW
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
OIT
2 - 1
NAG
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
NAG
2 - 1
FCT
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 2
KYO
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 2
GAM
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SHI
1 - 1
ALB
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 0
OMI
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |