Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
YOK
1 - 2
NAG
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
NAG
0 - 1
VEN
55%
22%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 1
NAG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
NAG
2 - 0
ALB
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
VEN
0 - 2
NAG
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 0
KAW
23%
23%
54%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
KAA
2 - 1
ALB
57%
22%
22%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
ALB
3 - 1
KAA
35%
26%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
NAG
2 - 0
ALB
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 2
URA
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |