Naftëtari Kuçovë vs Valbona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
5º
5º
42
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 2 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftëtari Kuçovë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SOP
2 - 1
NAF
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NAF
4 - 1
ADA
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 2
NAF
40%
22%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 0
NAF
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NAF
2 - 0
MUR
47%
21%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Valbona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
KFV
3 - 1
ILI
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
KFV
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SOP
4 - 3
KFV
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
KFV
5 - 0
ADA
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 5
KFV
24%
20%
56%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +2 |