Naft Al Junoob vs Basra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naft Al Junoob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
NAF
3 - 2
NAS
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
ALS
5 - 1
NAF
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Basra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2004 |
BFC
1 - 1
ALS
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
BFC
1 - 1
MIS
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
BFC
1 - 2
ALM
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
NAS
1 - 1
BFC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 1
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |