Naft Al Junoob vs Erbil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naft Al Junoob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
NAF
1 - 1
ALM
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
ALQ
2 - 0
NAF
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
NAF
3 - 3
ZAK
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ALN
1 - 0
NAF
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
ALS
1 - 1
NAF
26%
29%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ARB
8 - 1
ALM
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
ARB
3 - 4
SHO
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
ARB
4 - 1
ALS
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
ALK
3 - 5
ARB
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ARB
2 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |