Nadi vs Navua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nadi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
LAU
2 - 1
NAD
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
NAD
0 - 1
LAB
52%
23%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NAD
3 - 3
NAS
60%
20%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
NAD
0 - 2
NAD
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
NAD
2 - 3
SUV
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Navua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
NAV
1 - 2
BAF
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
REW
2 - 0
NAV
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 0
TAV
62%
19%
20%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LAU
0 - 1
NAV
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NAV
2 - 3
LAB
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |