Nadi vs Navua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nadi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
NAD
2 - 1
REW
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
LAB
1 - 3
NAD
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2007 |
NAD
2 - 0
NAD
77%
15%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
NAD
1 - 1
TAV
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
LAU
3 - 1
NAD
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Navua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
LAU
2 - 3
NAV
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
NAV
3 - 3
NAS
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
NAV
0 - 2
REW
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
BAF
5 - 0
NAV
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
NAD
1 - 4
NAV
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |