Nacional U19 vs Vitória Setúbal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
NAC
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BLN
1 - 0
NAC
55%
21%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 0
NAC
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PAÇ
4 - 1
NAC
67%
18%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
AVE
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SET
2 - 2
AMO
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SET
4 - 3
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FCA
6 - 1
SET
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SET
0 - 1
SPO
15%
20%
66%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
SET
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |