Nacional U19 vs Vilafranquense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
4º
3º
7
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 3
NAC
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
BLN
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
NAC
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 1
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
SET
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vilafranquense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
MAR
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
SET
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 3
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BLN
3 - 0
VIL
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
TOR
14%
18%
67%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |