Nacional U19 vs União de Leiria U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDF
0 - 3
NAC
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GDA
1 - 3
NAC
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SET
1 - 1
NAC
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
NAC
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 2
ALC
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RSC
2 - 1
UDL
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 1
UDL
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 2
SIN
83%
11%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 1
FAR
39%
22%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |