Nacional U19 vs Sporting CP U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
72.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 2
SET
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
NAC
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BLN
1 - 0
NAC
55%
21%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 0
NAC
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PAÇ
4 - 1
NAC
67%
18%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AMO
2 - 2
SPO
6%
11%
83%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
AJA
69%
17%
15%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
FCA
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SPO
7 - 1
UNI
93%
5%
2%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SET
0 - 1
SPO
15%
20%
66%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |