Nacional U19 vs Real SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
1DE
0 - 0
NAC
21%
22%
58%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
NAC
6 - 0
SAM
76%
15%
8%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
NAC
3 - 2
1DE
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 2
NAC
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Real SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
RSC
2 - 3
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SIN
3 - 2
RSC
39%
22%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SIN
2 - 2
RSC
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
RSC
4 - 2
ORI
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RSC
0 - 1
OEL
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |