Nacional U19 vs Maritimo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
4º
3º
25
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
CAP
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BLN
0 - 1
NAC
61%
20%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOR
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maritimo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
SET
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 1
MAR
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
BLN
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
SET
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |