Nacional U19 vs Belenenses U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 2
NAC
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SET
0 - 2
NAC
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
5 - 1
ACA
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
AMO
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 3
NAC
22%
22%
57%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Belenenses U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BLN
2 - 2
ACA
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
BLN
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BLN
2 - 1
VIL
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SET
3 - 1
BLN
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BLN
0 - 2
SAC
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |