Nacional U19 vs Alverca U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
1DE
1 - 1
NAC
17%
20%
63%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAM
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SIN
0 - 1
NAC
37%
24%
40%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
RSC
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alverca U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 2
ORI
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCA
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
1DE
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
FCA
10%
15%
74%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
SIN
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |