Nacional U19 vs Alverca U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
61.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 2
SPO
12%
16%
73%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 2
SET
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
NAC
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BLN
1 - 0
NAC
55%
21%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 0
NAC
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alverca U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 0
AMO
88%
8%
3%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FCA
5 - 0
UNI
91%
6%
2%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
FCA
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FCA
6 - 1
SET
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
FCA
43%
22%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |