Nacional SP vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
NAC
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 3
MAU
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
NAC
10%
15%
75%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
ECU
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 3
UNI
15%
20%
66%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
FLA
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
MOG
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
FLA
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |