Nacional SP vs ECUS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
JAB
0 - 2
NAC
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
MFC
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MAU
1 - 2
NAC
11%
20%
70%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
BAR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 1
NAC
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 1
BAR
24%
21%
56%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAU
3 - 2
ECU
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 2
JAB
19%
20%
62%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 1
ECU
63%
21%
16%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 1
NAC
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | -1 |