Nacional PR vs Cascavel FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
68.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 2
BAN
15%
24%
61%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 2
GEM
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 0
APU
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
NPR
63%
22%
16%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 2
CAB
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
TCW
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
MIR
27%
29%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
CAS
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 0
CAS
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 3
CAB
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |