Nacional vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAC
4 - 2
RAC
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CER
1 - 2
NAC
31%
29%
41%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
TAC
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
6 - 2
JUN
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 2
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
RIV
14%
21%
65%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 3
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
INS
1 - 3
RIV
13%
19%
68%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 1
CEN
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |