Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
12º
10º
23
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 3
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 2
PAL
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 3
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
2DE
2 - 0
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CCP
0 - 1
TAC
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
AME
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 1
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
2DE
52%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 3
TAC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |