Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
12º
3º
29
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SPT
2 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
LQE
0 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
TAC
52%
23%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 2
TAC
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
7 - 1
TAC
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 2
CCP
31%
29%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 3
TAC
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |