Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
5º
15
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
LQE
0 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
RES
54%
26%
21%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 1
LQE
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 4
EST
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
RES
1 - 0
TAC
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
GUA
27%
28%
46%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |