Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RES
0 - 1
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
JLM
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AME
1 - 2
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
CCP
5 - 0
TAC
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
TAC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
GUA
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 4
TAC
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |